Hamid Amadeh; Nader Mehregan; Mahmood Haghani; Meisam Hadad
Volume 13, Issue 51 , January 2014, , Pages 53-80
Abstract
The correct estimation of gas oil demand function in agriculture industry and calculation of price and income elasticities is important to adopt the price and income policies. Therefore, in the present study the price and income elasticity of gas oil demand were estimated applying non-observable ...
Read More
The correct estimation of gas oil demand function in agriculture industry and calculation of price and income elasticities is important to adopt the price and income policies. Therefore, in the present study the price and income elasticity of gas oil demand were estimated applying non-observable component to the process and creation of a state-space pattern and using maximum likelihood method and the Kalman Filter algorithm. In order to compare the obtained coefficients, ARDL, ECM and FMOLS methods were used. In addition, the data used in this research are collected for the period between 1974 and 2010. The results indicate that the estimated process is random and nonlinear, and its modality is Local Level Model. According to the estimated demand function, the estimated price elasticity of gas oil demand in the short and long term are -0.09 and -0.13, respectively. Also, in the short and long term, the income elasticity is 0.4 and 0.57, respectively. In addition, the coefficient of tractor number in each acre of the area under cultivation, which shows the sensitivity of gas oil demand to equipment and agricultural machines changes, is obtained to be 0.34.
Fereshteh Mohammadyan; Hamid Amadeh; Abbas Shakeri
Volume 13, Issue 49 , July 2013, , Pages 117-150
Abstract
This article explains the differences in size and growth of governments over time. We first divide the theories of government size into three theories relating to demand side, supply side and other theories. Then these theories are empirically tested by a conceptual model for 103 countries and selected ...
Read More
This article explains the differences in size and growth of governments over time. We first divide the theories of government size into three theories relating to demand side, supply side and other theories. Then these theories are empirically tested by a conceptual model for 103 countries and selected groups of countries (Muslim and socialist countries, democracies, authoritarian countries and federal countries) during the period of 1990 to 2010. The results show that among the demand side variables, per capita income, inequality and urbanization, respectively with negative, positive and positive signs, have a significant effect on the size of government. In the case of supply side variabels, indirect taxes have a significant positive effect on the size of government. Concerning other factors (factors other than the supply and demand side variables), the three variables that are the ratio of aging population, the degree of openness of the economy and the rate of female participation in the labor market have a significant positive effect on government size. The results also show that political structure, ideological structure, and presence or absence of centralization not only affect the government size but also the effect of economic variables is different when these structural factors change.