Document Type : Research Paper

Author

MSc Student in Economics, Allameh Tabataba’i University

Abstract

In recent years many indices have been developed to measure the vulnerability and resilience of economies to external shocks. The development of composite indicators to quantify these concepts has received particular attention in economic literature. This study aims to investigate the impact of economic vulnerability and resilience on volatilities of Gross Domestic Products (GDP) per capita in 106 countries by using panel data during period 2000-2014. To conduct this study, economic vulnerability and resilience indices have been constructed using Briguglio method. We also use Hodrick-Prescott filter to estimate GDP per capita volatilities. The results of this research indicate that: first, economic vulnerability has a significant positive effect on volatilities of GDP per capita. Second; economic resilience has a significant negative impact on volatilities of GDP per capita. Third, Iran has low resilience and high vulnerability because of high export concentration, inappropriate macroeconomic conditions and weakness of good governance.

Keywords

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