Mehdi Yazdani; Hamed Pirpour
Abstract
In general, development of infrastructures and implementation of economic projects require financing. However, the exchange rate fluctuations lead to increasing costs of financing through conversion, transaction, economic, credit and liquidity risks. Hence, in this study, the effect of the exchange rate ...
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In general, development of infrastructures and implementation of economic projects require financing. However, the exchange rate fluctuations lead to increasing costs of financing through conversion, transaction, economic, credit and liquidity risks. Hence, in this study, the effect of the exchange rate volatilities has been investigated on financing practices of companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange using autoregressive distributed lags method during monthly period 2006-2015 and then, the effect of this variable has been determined on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow in economic sectors of Iran using panel data method during 1994-2015. According to the results, the value of assets, stock price index, economic freedom index, inflation rate and exchange rate volatilities are identified as determinants of firms’ financing. Also, the pattern of FDI is a function of sectoral value-added growth, capital productivity index, inflation rate, economic freedom index and the exchange rate volatilities where the coefficients are significant and consistent with theoretical expectations. Furthermore, increasing exchange rate fluctuations can decrease domestic and foreign financing because exchange rate fluctuations lead to different risks.
Hassan Heydari; HamidReza Faalju; Fatemeh Karami
Volume 13, Issue 49 , July 2013, , Pages 151-176
Abstract
The price index of shares of companies accepted in the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) is one of the main variables in evaluating macroeconomic performance of Iranian economy. One of the factors affecting stock price index of developing countries like Iran, that has high degree of volatility, ...
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The price index of shares of companies accepted in the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) is one of the main variables in evaluating macroeconomic performance of Iranian economy. One of the factors affecting stock price index of developing countries like Iran, that has high degree of volatility, is exchange rate uncertainty.The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effects of exchange rate uncertainty on price index in the TSE for the period of 1994-2009 using monthly data. In this regard, first, an index of exchange rate uncertainty is calculated using EGARCH models. Then, in order to obtain the relationship between uncertainty in real exchange rate and the stock price index, Bounds test approach is applied to the relationship between level data. The results show that in both long-run and short-run, there is a negative and significant relationship between the exchange rate and stock prices. Moveover, real exchange rate uncertainty has a non-significant negative effect on stock price in short-run. In the long-run, the relationship between real exchange rate uncertainty and stock price is negative and significant. The results of Granger causality test also show that bidirectional causality exists between the real exchange rate and real exchange rate uncertainty in the short-run. While we could not find such an interactive relationship between other variables in the short-run, an indirect causality exists from exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainty to the stock price in the long-run.
